John Nguyen vs Patrick Hill
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-6-0Record5-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
-Reach67"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
DK United AFCTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1552
If they lose-16→ 1520
If they win+24→ 1560
If they lose-24→ 1512
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John NguyenPatrick Hill
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Nguyen70%
Patrick Hill 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes John Nguyen a 70% favorite over Patrick Hill in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1536 vs 1536), separated by just 0 points.
John Nguyen finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Hill 40%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.