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Combat Edge Intelligence

John Phillips vs Willer Alves

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Phillips
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John Phillips

“The Welsh Wrecking Machine”

22-11-0MiddleweightUFC

1623Solid

Tale of the tape

22-11-0Record5-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'2"
75,0"Reach-
185 lbsWeight184 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamReal Kombat Technique

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John PhillipsNow 1623
If they win+12→ 1635
If they lose-12→ 1611
Willer AlvesNow 1625
If they win+24→ 1649
If they lose-24→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.72
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
34%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
49%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
8%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

John PhillipsWiller Alves
1600165020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

20 (91%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
2 (9%)
Submission
3 (60%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Willer Alves53%
John Phillips 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Willer Alves a 53% favorite over John Phillips in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1625), separated by just 2 points.

John Phillips enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Willer Alves enters on a 5-fight win streak.

John Phillips finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Willer Alves 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.