Johnny Eblen vs Khamzat Chimaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-1-0Record15-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'2"
74"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAllstars Training Center· 1670 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1831
If they lose-15→ 1799
If they win+15→ 1843
If they lose-17→ 1811
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1723 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1751 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Johnny EblenKhamzat Chimaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Khamzat Chimaev60%
Johnny Eblen 40%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Khamzat Chimaev a 60% favorite over Johnny Eblen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1814 vs 1828), separated by just 14 points.
Johnny Eblen enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Johnny Eblen finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Khamzat Chimaev 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.