Johnny Walker vs Justin Ledet
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-10-0Record9-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'4"
82"ReachTBD
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamTBD
What's at stake
Johnny Walker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Justin Ledet carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1652
If they lose-13→ 1628
If they win+18→ 1620
If they lose-14→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1720 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Johnny WalkerJustin Ledet
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Johnny Walker70%
Justin Ledet 30%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Johnny Walker a 70% favorite over Justin Ledet in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Johnny Walker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1641 to 1602, a 39-point edge.
Justin Ledet enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Johnny Walker finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Justin Ledet 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.