Johnny Walker vs Magomed Ankalaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-10-0Record21-2-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
82"Reach75"
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamGorets Fight Club· 1716 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Magomed Ankalaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Johnny Walker carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1659
If they lose-6→ 1635
If they win+7→ 1855
If they lose-25→ 1823
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1720 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1731 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Johnny WalkerMagomed Ankalaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Magomed Ankalaev92%
Johnny Walker 8%Elo baseline: 77%
The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Ankalaev a 92% favorite over Johnny Walker in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).
Magomed Ankalaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1848 to 1641, a 207-point edge.
Johnny Walker finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Ankalaev 52%.
Johnny Walker and Magomed Ankalaev share 3 common opponents: Volkan Oezdemir, Anthony Smith and Thiago Santos.
Johnny Walker carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.