Johnny Walker vs Mario Sperry
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-0Record13-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'2"
82"ReachTBD
206 lbsWeight210 lbs
SBG IrelandTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1669
If they lose-12→ 1645
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1717 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Johnny WalkerMario Sperry
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Johnny Walker64%
Mario Sperry 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Johnny Walker a 64% favorite over Mario Sperry in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mario Sperry's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1657 vs 1659), separated by just 2 points.
Johnny Walker finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Mario Sperry 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.