Combat Edge Intelligence

Johnny Walker vs Nell Ariano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

22-10-0 Record 6-0-0
Light Heavyweight Division Light Heavyweight
6'5" Height 6'4"
82" Reach -
206 lbs Weight 206 lbs
SBG Ireland Team Platinum MMA Training Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Johnny WalkerNow 1641
If they win+12→ 1653
If they lose-12→ 1629
Nell ArianoNow 1634
If they win+24→ 1658
If they lose-24→ 1610

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Tracked stat edges

3.90
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
55%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.99
Strikes absorbed / min Lower is better
TBD
46%
Strike defense
TBD
0.36
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
57%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.73
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Johnny Walker Nell Ariano
1550 1600 1650 2024 2025 2026

Win method breakdown

17 (77%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
3 (14%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (9%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Nell Ariano70%
Johnny Walker30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Nell Ariano a 70% favorite over Johnny Walker in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Johnny Walker's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1641 vs 1634), separated by just 7 points.

Nell Ariano enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Johnny Walker finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Nell Ariano 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.