Johnny Walker vs Nikita Krylov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-0Record31-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
82"Reach77"
206 lbsWeight215 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamRaty Team· 1671 avg Elo · 14 rated
What's at stake
Nikita Krylov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Johnny Walker carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1670
If they lose-11→ 1646
If they win+11→ 1701
If they lose-13→ 1677
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1717 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1710 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Johnny WalkerNikita Krylov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Johnny Walker63%
Nikita Krylov 37%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Johnny Walker a 63% favorite over Nikita Krylov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nikita Krylov's way (45%).
Nikita Krylov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1690 to 1657, a 33-point edge.
Johnny Walker finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Nikita Krylov 94%.
Johnny Walker and Nikita Krylov share 4 common opponents: Dominick Reyes, Volkan Oezdemir, Magomed Ankalaev and Paul Craig.
Johnny Walker carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.