Joilton Lutterbach vs Nick Galanti
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Nick Galanti57%
Joilton Lutterbach 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nick Galanti a 57% favorite over Joilton Lutterbach in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1708 vs 1709), separated by just 1 points.
Nick Galanti enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Joilton Lutterbach finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Nick Galanti 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
38-9-0Record9-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team PeregrinoTeamDante Rivera BJJ· 1673 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1720
If they lose-12→ 1696
If they win+16→ 1725
If they lose-16→ 1693
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joilton LutterbachNick Galanti