Combat Edge Intelligence

Jon Kunneman vs Marco Tulio Silva Costa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record11-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
77.2"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamTeam Paraiba

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jon KunnemanNow 1675
If they win+16→ 1691
If they lose-16→ 1659
Marco Tulio Silva CostaNow 1676
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1491 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.42
TBD
Strike accuracy
51%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.78
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.33
TBD
Takedown accuracy
20%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.66

Trajectory

Jon KunnemanMarco Tulio Silva Costa
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
7 (70%)
Submission
1 (9%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jon Kunneman and Marco Tulio Silva Costa within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1675 vs 1676), separated by just 1 points.

Jon Kunneman finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Marco Tulio Silva Costa 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.