Combat Edge Intelligence

Jonas Mågård vs Long Xiao

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-7-0Record27-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
72.8"Reach70"
136 lbsWeight136 lbs
Redline Training CenterTeamXin-Du Martial Arts Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jonas MågårdNow 1677
If they win+12→ 1689
If they lose-12→ 1665
Long XiaoNow 1679
If they win+12→ 1691
If they lose-12→ 1667

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.25
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.20
TBD
Strike defense
50%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.69
TBD
Takedown accuracy
25%
TBD
Takedown defense
80%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jonas MågårdLong Xiao
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (11%)
KO/TKO
5 (19%)
7 (37%)
Submission
9 (33%)
10 (53%)
Decision
13 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Long Xiao59%
Jonas Mågård 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Long Xiao a 59% favorite over Jonas Mågård in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1677 vs 1679), separated by just 2 points.

Jonas Mågård enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Long Xiao enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jonas Mågård finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Long Xiao 52%.

Jonas Mågård carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.