Combat Edge Intelligence

Jonathan Martinez vs Long Xiao

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-6-0Record27-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
70"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Factory XTeamXin-Du Martial Arts Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jonathan MartinezNow 1678
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662
Long XiaoNow 1679
If they win+12→ 1691
If they lose-12→ 1667

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1713 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.44
Sig. strikes / min
5.25
50%
Strike accuracy
46%
4.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.20
57%
Strike defense
50%
0.38
Takedown avg.
0.69
36%
Takedown accuracy
25%
68%
Takedown defense
80%
0.08
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jonathan MartinezLong Xiao
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (47%)
KO/TKO
5 (19%)
2 (11%)
Submission
9 (33%)
8 (42%)
Decision
13 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Long Xiao60%
Jonathan Martinez 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Long Xiao a 60% favorite over Jonathan Martinez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1678 vs 1679), separated by just 1 points.

Jonathan Martinez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Long Xiao enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jonathan Martinez finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Long Xiao 52%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.