Combat Edge Intelligence

Jonathan Micallef vs Jorge Santiago

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record25-12-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
77"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jonathan MicallefNow 1703
If they win+16→ 1719
If they lose-16→ 1687
Jorge SantiagoNow 1703
If they win+12→ 1715
If they lose-12→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.96
Sig. strikes / min
1.69
41%
Strike accuracy
35%
4.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.62
56%
Strike defense
56%
1.13
Takedown avg.
0.58
67%
Takedown accuracy
30%
75%
Takedown defense
52%
1.13
Submission avg.
0.77

Trajectory

Jonathan MicallefJorge Santiago
16001650170017502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
10 (40%)
4 (40%)
Submission
13 (52%)
4 (40%)
Decision
2 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Jonathan Micallef72%
Jorge Santiago 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Micallef a 72% favorite over Jorge Santiago in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1703 vs 1703), separated by just 0 points.

Jonathan Micallef enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Jorge Santiago enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jonathan Micallef finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Jorge Santiago 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.