Combat Edge Intelligence

Jonathan Micallef vs Josiah Harrell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record11-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'7"
77"Reach68"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jonathan MicallefNow 1703
If they win+16→ 1719
If they lose-16→ 1687
Josiah HarrellNow 1699
If they win+16→ 1715
If they lose-16→ 1683

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.96
Sig. strikes / min
0
41%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
1.13
Takedown avg.
TBD
67%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
75%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.13
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jonathan MicallefJosiah Harrell
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
4 (40%)
Submission
4 (36%)
4 (40%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Jonathan Micallef60%
Josiah Harrell 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Micallef a 60% favorite over Josiah Harrell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1703 vs 1699), separated by just 4 points.

Jonathan Micallef enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Jonathan Micallef finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Josiah Harrell 91%.

Jonathan Micallef carries a 9-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.