Jong Jun Park vs Ryoto Nishiyama
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Ryoto Nishiyama54%
Jong Jun Park 46%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryoto Nishiyama a 54% favorite over Jong Jun Park in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Ryoto Nishiyama holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1624 to 1604, a 20-point edge.
Jong Jun Park enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Ryoto Nishiyama enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Jong Jun Park finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Ryoto Nishiyama 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
5-1-0Record6-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'6"
-Reach-
144 lbsWeight136 lbs
MMA Story· 1633 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamParaestra Hachioji
What's at stake
Ryoto Nishiyama is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Jong Jun Park carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1629
If they lose-23→ 1581
If they win+23→ 1647
If they lose-25→ 1599
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jong Jun ParkRyoto Nishiyama