Jonny Parsons vs Jose Souza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record9-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'3"
69"Reach79"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamNova Uniao MPBJJ
What's at stake
Jonny Parsons is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Jose Souza carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1690
If they lose-27→ 1642
If they win+18→ 1650
If they lose-14→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1528 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jonny ParsonsJose Souza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jose Souza66%
Jonny Parsons 34%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Jose Souza a 66% favorite over Jonny Parsons in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jonny Parsons's way (45%).
Jonny Parsons holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1669 to 1632, a 37-point edge.
Jonny Parsons enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Jose Souza enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jonny Parsons finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Jose Souza 67%.
Jose Souza carries a 10-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.