Combat Edge Intelligence

Jordan Mein vs Matt Brown

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Jordan Mein
ca

Jordan Mein

“Young Gun”

32-14-0WelterweightBTC

1665Good
Matt Brown
us

Matt Brown

“The Immortal”

24-19-0WelterweightUFC

1624Solid

Tale of the tape

32-14-0Record24-19-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
41,0"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Canadian Martial Arts CentreTeamImmortal Fight Team

What's at stake

Jordan Mein is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Matt Brown carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jordan MeinNow 1665
If they win+11→ 1676
If they lose-13→ 1652
Matt BrownNow 1624
If they win+13→ 1637
If they lose-11→ 1613

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.35
Sig. strikes / min
3.76
45%
Strike accuracy
55%
2.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.92
69%
Strike defense
55%
1.56
Takedown avg.
1.68
58%
Takedown accuracy
47%
67%
Takedown defense
64%
0.22
Submission avg.
1.30

Trajectory

Jordan MeinMatt Brown
1600165017002021202220232024

Win method breakdown

16 (50%)
KO/TKO
16 (67%)
7 (22%)
Submission
6 (25%)
9 (28%)
Decision
2 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Jordan Mein61%
Matt Brown 39%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Jordan Mein a 61% favorite over Matt Brown in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Jordan Mein holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1665 to 1624, a 41-point edge.

Jordan Mein finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Matt Brown 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.