Combat Edge Intelligence

Jordan Molinari vs Paddy Holohan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record12-2-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'9"
-Reach39.00
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Next Generation MMA LiverpoolTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jordan MolinariNow 1554
If they win+24→ 1578
If they lose-24→ 1530
Paddy HolohanNow 1551
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.13
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.81
TBD
Strike defense
46%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.88
TBD
Takedown accuracy
48%
TBD
Takedown defense
71%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.31

Trajectory

Jordan MolinariPaddy Holohan
15001550201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
0 (0%)
Submission
8 (67%)
4 (100%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Jordan Molinari70%
Paddy Holohan 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jordan Molinari a 70% favorite over Paddy Holohan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1554 vs 1551), separated by just 3 points.

Jordan Molinari enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Jordan Molinari finishes 0% of wins inside the distance, Paddy Holohan 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.