José Aldo vs Marlon Vera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-10-0Record24-12-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
70"Reach 70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamTeam Oyama· 1643 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
José Aldo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Marlon Vera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1792
If they lose-14→ 1768
If they win+14→ 1738
If they lose-10→ 1714
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1746 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1757 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
José AldoMarlon Vera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting José Aldo and Marlon Vera within a point of even.
José Aldo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1782 to 1724, a 58-point edge.
José Aldo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
José Aldo finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Marlon Vera 79%.
José Aldo and Marlon Vera share 3 common opponents: Aiemann Zahabi, Rob Font and Pedro Munhoz.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.