José Aldo vs Pedro Munhoz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-10-0Record20-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
70"Reach65"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
José Aldo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Pedro Munhoz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1790
If they lose-15→ 1766
If they win+15→ 1711
If they lose-9→ 1687
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1747 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1745 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
José AldoPedro Munhoz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
José Aldo72%
Pedro Munhoz 28%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes José Aldo a 72% favorite over Pedro Munhoz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
José Aldo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1781 to 1696, a 85-point edge.
José Aldo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Pedro Munhoz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
José Aldo finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Munhoz 65%.
José Aldo and Pedro Munhoz share 2 common opponents: Aiemann Zahabi and Marlon Vera.
José Aldo carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.