Jose Johnson vs Kaito Oda
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record8-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
6'0"Height5'6"
71"Reach-
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1612
If they lose-12→ 1588
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jose JohnsonKaito Oda
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jose Johnson63%
Kaito Oda 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jose Johnson a 63% favorite over Kaito Oda in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kaito Oda's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1601), separated by just 1 points.
Jose Johnson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kaito Oda enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jose Johnson finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Kaito Oda 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.