Combat Edge Intelligence

Jose Johnson vs Tyson Nam

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-10-0Record23-16-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
6'0"Height5'7"
71"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Twin Wolves MMATeamSports Lab

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jose JohnsonNow 1608
If they win+12→ 1620
If they lose-12→ 1596
Tyson NamNow 1602
If they win+12→ 1614
If they lose-12→ 1590

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1617 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.22
Sig. strikes / min
3.87
58%
Strike accuracy
34%
1.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.97
53%
Strike defense
65%
0.71
Takedown avg.
0
60%
Takedown accuracy
0%
39%
Takedown defense
88%
0.71
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jose JohnsonTyson Nam
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (50%)
KO/TKO
15 (65%)
3 (19%)
Submission
1 (4%)
5 (31%)
Decision
7 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Jose Johnson59%
Tyson Nam 41%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Jose Johnson a 59% favorite over Tyson Nam in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1608 vs 1602), separated by just 6 points.

Jose Johnson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Tyson Nam enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jose Johnson finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Nam 70%.

Jose Johnson carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.