Combat Edge Intelligence

Jose Mendez vs Lucas Corbage

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record13-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
-Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Spokane Valley BJJTeamNova Uniao Argentina

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jose MendezNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
Lucas CorbageNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1478 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jose MendezLucas Corbage
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (11%)
KO/TKO
5 (38%)
7 (78%)
Submission
4 (31%)
1 (11%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Lucas Corbage62%
Jose Mendez 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Corbage a 62% favorite over Jose Mendez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jose Mendez's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1614), separated by just 0 points.

Jose Mendez finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Corbage 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.