Josefine Knutsson vs Mathilde Aschenbrenner
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-1-0Record3-0-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"HeightTBD
60"ReachTBD
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Allstars Training Center· 1671 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamNR Fight· 1577 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1594
If they lose-24→ 1546
If they win+24→ 1599
If they lose-24→ 1551
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1627 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1477 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Josefine KnutssonMathilde Aschenbrenner
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josefine Knutsson57%
Mathilde Aschenbrenner 43%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Josefine Knutsson a 57% favorite over Mathilde Aschenbrenner in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mathilde Aschenbrenner's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1575), separated by just 5 points.
Mathilde Aschenbrenner enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Josefine Knutsson finishes 13% of wins inside the distance, Mathilde Aschenbrenner 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.