Josenildo Pantoja vs Piotr Strus
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Piotr Strus63%
Josenildo Pantoja 37%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Piotr Strus a 63% favorite over Josenildo Pantoja in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1512 vs 1516), separated by just 4 points.
Josenildo Pantoja enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Josenildo Pantoja finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Piotr Strus 41%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
4-4-0Record17-11-2
FeatherweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'6"Height6'2"
-Reach72.4"
146 lbsWeight185 lbs
Zul JoanTeamWCA Fight Team· 1601 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1536
If they lose-24→ 1488
If they win+16→ 1532
If they lose-16→ 1500
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Josenildo PantojaPiotr Strus