Joseph Benavidez vs Jussier Formiga
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
28-8-0Record24-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'5"
TBDReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Joseph Benavidez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jussier Formiga carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1793
If they lose-14→ 1769
If they win+14→ 1740
If they lose-10→ 1716
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1718 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joseph BenavidezJussier Formiga
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joseph Benavidez61%
Jussier Formiga 39%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Benavidez a 61% favorite over Jussier Formiga in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Joseph Benavidez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1783 to 1726, a 57-point edge.
Joseph Benavidez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Joseph Benavidez finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Jussier Formiga 46%.
Joseph Benavidez and Jussier Formiga share 3 common opponents: Deiveson Figueiredo, Alex Perez and Sergio Pettis.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.