Joseph Benavidez vs Kyoji Horiguchi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-8-0Record36-6-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'5"
TBDReach66"
125 lbsWeight134 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Kyoji Horiguchi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Joseph Benavidez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1796
If they lose-11→ 1772
If they win+11→ 1811
If they lose-13→ 1787
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1718 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1646 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joseph BenavidezKyoji Horiguchi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kyoji Horiguchi76%
Joseph Benavidez 24%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Kyoji Horiguchi a 76% favorite over Joseph Benavidez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Kyoji Horiguchi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1800 to 1783, a 17-point edge.
Joseph Benavidez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Joseph Benavidez finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Kyoji Horiguchi 58%.
Joseph Benavidez and Kyoji Horiguchi share 1 common opponent: Sergio Pettis.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.