Joseph Kropschot vs Ronald Humphrey
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Joseph Kropschot54%
Ronald Humphrey 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Kropschot a 54% favorite over Ronald Humphrey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1629), separated by just 1 points.
Joseph Kropschot enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Ronald Humphrey enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Joseph Kropschot finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Ronald Humphrey 100%.
Joseph Kropschot carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
10-3-0Record5-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'11"
79"Reach77"
184 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team BlackTeamAmerican Top Team Atlanta
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
If they win+24→ 1653
If they lose-24→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joseph KropschotRonald Humphrey