Joseph Morales vs Jussier Formiga
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-2-0Record24-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
69"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1731
If they lose-15→ 1699
If they win+12→ 1738
If they lose-12→ 1714
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joseph MoralesJussier Formiga
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joseph Morales70%
Jussier Formiga 30%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Morales a 70% favorite over Jussier Formiga in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jussier Formiga's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1714 vs 1726), separated by just 12 points.
Joseph Morales enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Joseph Morales finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Jussier Formiga 46%.
Joseph Morales and Jussier Formiga share 1 common opponent: Deiveson Figueiredo.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.