Josh Bryant vs Marco Tulio Silva Costa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-4-0Record11-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Absolute Combat AllianceTeamTeam Paraiba
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1691
If they lose-16→ 1659
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh BryantMarco Tulio Silva Costa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marco Tulio Silva Costa66%
Josh Bryant 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marco Tulio Silva Costa a 66% favorite over Josh Bryant in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1675 vs 1676), separated by just 1 points.
Josh Bryant finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Marco Tulio Silva Costa 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.