Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Carrick vs Josh Parisian

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-0-0Record15-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
-Reach79"
265 lbsWeight266 lbs
Jarmesty Martial ArtsTeamScorpion Fighting System· 1551 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh CarrickNow 1579
If they win+24→ 1603
If they lose-24→ 1555
Josh ParisianNow 1575
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.55
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.88
TBD
Strike defense
41%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.98
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
46%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

Josh CarrickJosh Parisian
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (100%)
KO/TKO
11 (73%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (13%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Carrick56%
Josh Parisian 44%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Carrick a 56% favorite over Josh Parisian in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1575), separated by just 4 points.

Josh Carrick enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Josh Parisian enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Josh Carrick finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Josh Parisian 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.