Josh Culibao vs Melsik Baghdasaryan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-1Record8-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
73"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
Josh Culibao is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Melsik Baghdasaryan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1653
If they lose-17→ 1621
If they win+17→ 1640
If they lose-15→ 1608
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1623 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Josh CulibaoMelsik Baghdasaryan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Culibao53%
Melsik Baghdasaryan 47%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Culibao a 53% favorite over Melsik Baghdasaryan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Josh Culibao holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1638 to 1623, a 15-point edge.
Josh Culibao enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Melsik Baghdasaryan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Josh Culibao finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Melsik Baghdasaryan 63%.
Josh Culibao carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.