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Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Emmett vs Karshyga Dautbek

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-7-0Record19-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'8"
70"Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamTiger Muay Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh EmmettNow 1712
If they win+12→ 1724
If they lose-12→ 1700
Karshyga DautbekNow 1713
If they win+16→ 1729
If they lose-16→ 1697

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1754 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.72
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
36%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
60%
Strike defense
Not available
1.08
Takedown avg.
Not available
38%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
44%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.07
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Josh EmmettKarshyga Dautbek
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (37%)
KO/TKO
15 (79%)
2 (11%)
Submission
1 (5%)
10 (53%)
Decision
3 (16%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Emmett63%
Karshyga Dautbek 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Emmett a 63% favorite over Karshyga Dautbek in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Karshyga Dautbek's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1712 vs 1713), separated by just 1 points.

Josh Emmett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Josh Emmett finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Karshyga Dautbek 84%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.