Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Emmett vs Kevin Vallejos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-7-0Record18-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'7"
70"Reach68"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamBrothers of Life MMA

What's at stake

Kevin Vallejos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Josh Emmett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Josh EmmettNow 1712
If they win+14→ 1726
If they lose-10→ 1702
Kevin VallejosNow 1780
If they win+13→ 1793
If they lose-19→ 1761

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1753 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.72
Sig. strikes / min
5.78
36%
Strike accuracy
47%
4.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.71
60%
Strike defense
57%
1.08
Takedown avg.
0.71
38%
Takedown accuracy
29%
44%
Takedown defense
83%
0.07
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Josh EmmettKevin Vallejos
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (37%)
KO/TKO
13 (72%)
2 (11%)
Submission
2 (11%)
10 (53%)
Decision
3 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Kevin Vallejos80%
Josh Emmett 20%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Vallejos a 80% favorite over Josh Emmett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Kevin Vallejos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1780 to 1712, a 68-point edge.

Josh Emmett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Kevin Vallejos enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Josh Emmett finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Vallejos 83%.

Josh Emmett carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.