Josh Emmett vs Lerone Murphy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-7-0Record17-1-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'10"
70"Reach73"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamManchester Top Team
What's at stake
Lerone Murphy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Josh Emmett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1727
If they lose-9→ 1703
If they win+12→ 1803
If they lose-20→ 1771
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1753 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1704 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh EmmettLerone Murphy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lerone Murphy83%
Josh Emmett 17%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Lerone Murphy a 83% favorite over Josh Emmett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Lerone Murphy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1791 to 1712, a 79-point edge.
Josh Emmett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Josh Emmett finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Lerone Murphy 47%.
Josh Emmett and Lerone Murphy share 1 common opponent: Dan Ige.
Lerone Murphy carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.