Josh Emmett vs Mirsad Bektić
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-7-0Record13-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'8"
70"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 ratedTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
Josh Emmett is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Mirsad Bektić carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1723
If they lose-13→ 1699
If they win+18→ 1695
If they lose-14→ 1663
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1754 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1660 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh EmmettMirsad Bektić
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Emmett60%
Mirsad Bektić 40%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Emmett a 60% favorite over Mirsad Bektić in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Josh Emmett holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1712 to 1677, a 35-point edge.
Josh Emmett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Mirsad Bektić enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Josh Emmett finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Mirsad Bektić 69%.
Josh Emmett and Mirsad Bektić share 1 common opponent: Dan Ige.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.