Josh Emmett vs Ricardo Lamas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-7-0Record20-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'8"
70"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
Ricardo Lamas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Josh Emmett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1725
If they lose-11→ 1701
If they win+11→ 1741
If they lose-13→ 1717
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1753 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh EmmettRicardo Lamas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Emmett53%
Ricardo Lamas 47%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Emmett a 53% favorite over Ricardo Lamas in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ricardo Lamas's way (47%).
Ricardo Lamas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1712, a 18-point edge.
Josh Emmett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Josh Emmett finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Lamas 55%.
Josh Emmett and Ricardo Lamas share 2 common opponents: Calvin Kattar and Mirsad Bektić.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.