Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Emmett vs Scott Holtzman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-7-0Record14-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'9"
70"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamShield Systems

What's at stake

Josh Emmett is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Scott Holtzman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Josh EmmettNow 1712
If they win+10→ 1722
If they lose-14→ 1698
Scott HoltzmanNow 1664
If they win+18→ 1682
If they lose-14→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1753 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.72
Sig. strikes / min
4.32
36%
Strike accuracy
48%
4.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.66
60%
Strike defense
55%
1.08
Takedown avg.
1.88
38%
Takedown accuracy
57%
44%
Takedown defense
67%
0.07
Submission avg.
0.18

Trajectory

Josh EmmettScott Holtzman
165017001750202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (37%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
2 (11%)
Submission
2 (14%)
10 (53%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Emmett72%
Scott Holtzman 28%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Emmett a 72% favorite over Scott Holtzman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Josh Emmett holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1712 to 1664, a 48-point edge.

Josh Emmett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Scott Holtzman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Josh Emmett finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Scott Holtzman 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.