Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Emmett vs Shane Burgos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-7-0Record16-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'11"
70"Reach75"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamTeam Tiger Schulmann

What's at stake

Shane Burgos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Josh Emmett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Josh EmmettNow 1712
If they win+13→ 1725
If they lose-11→ 1701
Shane BurgosNow 1733
If they win+15→ 1748
If they lose-17→ 1716

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1753 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1703 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.72
Sig. strikes / min
7.40
36%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.78
60%
Strike defense
56%
1.08
Takedown avg.
0.43
38%
Takedown accuracy
44%
44%
Takedown defense
92%
0.07
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Josh EmmettShane Burgos
1700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (37%)
KO/TKO
5 (31%)
2 (11%)
Submission
5 (31%)
10 (53%)
Decision
6 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Shane Burgos63%
Josh Emmett 37%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Shane Burgos a 63% favorite over Josh Emmett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Shane Burgos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1733 to 1712, a 21-point edge.

Josh Emmett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Josh Emmett finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Shane Burgos 63%.

Shane Burgos carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.