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Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Emmett vs Timur Valiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-7-0Record20-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'6"
70"Reach67"
145 lbsWeight138 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamDagFighter· 1716 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh EmmettNow 1712
If they win+12→ 1724
If they lose-12→ 1700
Timur ValievNow 1713
If they win+16→ 1729
If they lose-16→ 1697

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1754 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1587 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.72
Sig. strikes / min
5.19
36%
Strike accuracy
53%
4.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.33
60%
Strike defense
45%
1.08
Takedown avg.
1.73
38%
Takedown accuracy
27%
44%
Takedown defense
56%
0.07
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

Josh EmmettTimur Valiev
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (37%)
KO/TKO
5 (25%)
2 (11%)
Submission
3 (15%)
10 (53%)
Decision
12 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Josh Emmett and Timur Valiev within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1712 vs 1713), separated by just 1 points.

Josh Emmett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Josh Emmett finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Timur Valiev 40%.

Josh Emmett carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.