Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Emmett vs Yair Rodriguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-7-0Record20-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'11"
70"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamValle Flow Striking

What's at stake

Yair Rodriguez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Josh Emmett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Josh EmmettNow 1712
If they win+13→ 1725
If they lose-11→ 1701
Yair RodriguezNow 1751
If they win+14→ 1765
If they lose-18→ 1733

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1753 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1735 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.72
Sig. strikes / min
4.65
36%
Strike accuracy
46%
4.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.99
60%
Strike defense
52%
1.08
Takedown avg.
0.69
38%
Takedown accuracy
27%
44%
Takedown defense
58%
0.07
Submission avg.
0.69

Trajectory

Josh EmmettYair Rodriguez
170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (37%)
KO/TKO
8 (40%)
2 (11%)
Submission
5 (25%)
10 (53%)
Decision
7 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Yair Rodriguez70%
Josh Emmett 30%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Yair Rodriguez a 70% favorite over Josh Emmett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Yair Rodriguez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1751 to 1712, a 39-point edge.

Josh Emmett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Josh Emmett finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Yair Rodriguez 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.