Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Ferguson vs Roybert Echeverria

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record8-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
TBDReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
All American MMATeamThe Goat Shed Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh FergusonNow 1584
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568
Roybert EcheverriaNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.13
Sig. strikes / min
2.95
44%
Strike accuracy
53%
4.18
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.52
32%
Strike defense
57%
0.59
Takedown avg.
0
11%
Takedown accuracy
0%
55%
Takedown defense
71%
0
Submission avg.
2.60

Trajectory

Josh FergusonRoybert Echeverria
16001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (9%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
10 (91%)
Submission
2 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Roybert Echeverria60%
Josh Ferguson 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Roybert Echeverria a 60% favorite over Josh Ferguson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1588), separated by just 4 points.

Josh Ferguson enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Roybert Echeverria enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Josh Ferguson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Roybert Echeverria 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.