Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Fremd vs Luis Felipe Dias

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record18-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height5'11"
76"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Factory XTeamParana Vale Tudo· 1663 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh FremdNow 1649
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633
Luis Felipe DiasNow 1651
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.52
Sig. strikes / min
2.86
44%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.71
47%
Strike defense
55%
0.66
Takedown avg.
4.52
8%
Takedown accuracy
0%
30%
Takedown defense
67%
1.09
Submission avg.
1.13

Trajectory

Josh FremdLuis Felipe Dias
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (46%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
4 (31%)
Submission
8 (44%)
3 (23%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Josh Fremd and Luis Felipe Dias within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1651), separated by just 2 points.

Josh Fremd enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Luis Felipe Dias enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Josh Fremd finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Luis Felipe Dias 94%.

Josh Fremd carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.