Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Fremd vs Yousri Belgaroui

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record10-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'5"
76"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight190 lbs
Factory XTeamTeixeira MMA & Fitness· 1664 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh FremdNow 1649
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633
Yousri BelgarouiNow 1648
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.52
Sig. strikes / min
6.10
44%
Strike accuracy
64%
2.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.17
47%
Strike defense
64%
0.66
Takedown avg.
0.29
8%
Takedown accuracy
100%
30%
Takedown defense
67%
1.09
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Josh FremdYousri Belgaroui
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (46%)
KO/TKO
8 (80%)
4 (31%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (23%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Josh Fremd and Yousri Belgaroui within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1648), separated by just 1 points.

Josh Fremd enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Yousri Belgaroui enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Josh Fremd finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Yousri Belgaroui 80%.

Yousri Belgaroui carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.