Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Parisian vs Keigo Kunihara

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record3-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
79"ReachTBD
266 lbsWeight228 lbs
Scorpion Fighting SystemTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh ParisianNow 1575
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559
Keigo KuniharaNow 1573
If they win+24→ 1597
If they lose-24→ 1549

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1602 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1483 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.55
Sig. strikes / min
0.17
48%
Strike accuracy
10%
4.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.99
41%
Strike defense
57%
0.98
Takedown avg.
4.97
33%
Takedown accuracy
40%
46%
Takedown defense
100%
0.20
Submission avg.
2.49

Trajectory

Josh ParisianKeigo Kunihara
15001550160020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (73%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
2 (13%)
Submission
1 (33%)
2 (13%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Keigo Kunihara57%
Josh Parisian 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Keigo Kunihara a 57% favorite over Josh Parisian in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Parisian's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1575 vs 1573), separated by just 2 points.

Josh Parisian enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Keigo Kunihara enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Josh Parisian finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Keigo Kunihara 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.