Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Parisian vs Kent Mafileo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record6-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
79"ReachTBD
266 lbsWeight248 lbs
Scorpion Fighting SystemTeamRise Boxing

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh ParisianNow 1575
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559
Kent MafileoNow 1577
If they win+24→ 1601
If they lose-24→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1602 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.55
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
48%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
41%
Strike defense
TBD
0.98
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
46%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.20
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Josh ParisianKent Mafileo
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (73%)
KO/TKO
6 (100%)
2 (13%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (13%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Kent Mafileo53%
Josh Parisian 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kent Mafileo a 53% favorite over Josh Parisian in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1575 vs 1577), separated by just 2 points.

Josh Parisian enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Josh Parisian finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Kent Mafileo 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.