Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Parisian vs Marcos Brigagao

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record17-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
79"ReachTBD
266 lbsWeight210 lbs
Scorpion Fighting System· 1551 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamD.O METHODOLOGY

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh ParisianNow 1575
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559
Marcos BrigagaoNow 1573
If they win+16→ 1589
If they lose-16→ 1557

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1602 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.55
Sig. strikes / min
3.07
48%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.27
41%
Strike defense
26%
0.98
Takedown avg.
0
33%
Takedown accuracy
0%
46%
Takedown defense
36%
0.20
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Josh ParisianMarcos Brigagao
16002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (73%)
KO/TKO
12 (71%)
2 (13%)
Submission
3 (18%)
2 (13%)
Decision
2 (12%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcos Brigagao52%
Josh Parisian 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcos Brigagao a 52% favorite over Josh Parisian in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Parisian's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1575 vs 1573), separated by just 2 points.

Josh Parisian enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Marcos Brigagao enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Josh Parisian finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Marcos Brigagao 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.