Josh Parisian vs Marcos Brigagao
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record17-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
79"ReachTBD
266 lbsWeight210 lbs
Scorpion Fighting System· 1548 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamD.O METHODOLOGY
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Josh ParisianMarcos Brigagao
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Parisian54%
Marcos Brigagao 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Parisian a 54% favorite over Marcos Brigagao in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcos Brigagao's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1577), separated by just 1 points.
Josh Parisian enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Marcos Brigagao enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Josh Parisian finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Marcos Brigagao 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.