Josh Parisian vs Martin Buday
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record16-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'5"
79"Reach77"
266 lbsWeight265 lbs
Scorpion Fighting SystemTeamSpartakus Fight Gym
What's at stake
Martin Buday is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Josh Parisian carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1597
If they lose-10→ 1565
If they win+10→ 1710
If they lose-22→ 1678
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1602 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh ParisianMartin Buday
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Martin Buday88%
Josh Parisian 12%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Martin Buday a 88% favorite over Josh Parisian in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Martin Buday holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1700 to 1575, a 125-point edge.
Josh Parisian enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Martin Buday enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Josh Parisian finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Martin Buday 56%.
Josh Parisian and Martin Buday share 1 common opponent: Lazar Todev.
Josh Parisian carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.