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Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Parisian vs Martin Buday

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record16-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'5"
79"Reach77"
266 lbsWeight265 lbs
Scorpion Fighting System· 1548 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamSpartakus Fight Gym· 1623 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

Martin Buday is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Josh Parisian carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Josh ParisianNow 1576
If they win+22→ 1598
If they lose-10→ 1566
Martin BudayNow 1701
If they win+10→ 1711
If they lose-22→ 1679

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1654 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.55
Sig. strikes / min
4.39
48%
Strike accuracy
53%
4.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.49
41%
Strike defense
56%
0.98
Takedown avg.
0.15
33%
Takedown accuracy
20%
46%
Takedown defense
93%
0.20
Submission avg.
0.15

Trajectory

Josh ParisianMartin Buday
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (73%)
KO/TKO
7 (44%)
2 (13%)
Submission
2 (13%)
2 (13%)
Decision
7 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Martin Buday73%
Josh Parisian 27%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Martin Buday a 73% favorite over Josh Parisian in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Martin Buday holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1701 to 1576, a 125-point edge.

Josh Parisian enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Martin Buday enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Josh Parisian finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Martin Buday 56%.

Josh Parisian and Martin Buday share 1 common opponent: Lazar Todev.

Josh Parisian carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossTKO (Knees to the Body) · 2026
Lazar Todev
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2026