Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Parisian vs Ricardo Prasel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record13-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'7"
79"ReachTBD
266 lbsWeight244 lbs
Scorpion Fighting SystemTeamAlemao Brothers

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh ParisianNow 1575
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559
Ricardo PraselNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1602 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.55
Sig. strikes / min
2.21
48%
Strike accuracy
58%
4.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.83
41%
Strike defense
37%
0.98
Takedown avg.
0
33%
Takedown accuracy
0%
46%
Takedown defense
0%
0.20
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Josh ParisianRicardo Prasel
160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (73%)
KO/TKO
4 (31%)
2 (13%)
Submission
9 (69%)
2 (13%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Parisian59%
Ricardo Prasel 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Parisian a 59% favorite over Ricardo Prasel in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ricardo Prasel's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1575 vs 1576), separated by just 1 points.

Josh Parisian enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Ricardo Prasel enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Josh Parisian finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Prasel 100%.

Josh Parisian and Ricardo Prasel share 1 common opponent: Don'Tale Mayes.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossTKO · 2021
Don'Tale Mayes
LossTKO (punches) · 2019