Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Parisian vs Robelis Despaigne

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record6-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'7"
79"Reach 84"
266 lbsWeight263 lbs
Scorpion Fighting SystemTeamMMA Temple

What's at stake

Robelis Despaigne is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Josh Parisian carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Josh ParisianNow 1575
If they win+18→ 1593
If they lose-14→ 1561
Robelis DespaigneNow 1623
If they win+21→ 1644
If they lose-27→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1602 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.55
Sig. strikes / min
2.11
48%
Strike accuracy
60%
4.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.54
41%
Strike defense
47%
0.98
Takedown avg.
0
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
46%
Takedown defense
50%
0.20
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Josh ParisianRobelis Despaigne
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (73%)
KO/TKO
7 (100%)
2 (13%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (13%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Robelis Despaigne62%
Josh Parisian 38%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Robelis Despaigne a 62% favorite over Josh Parisian in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Robelis Despaigne holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1623 to 1575, a 48-point edge.

Josh Parisian enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Josh Parisian finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Robelis Despaigne 100%.

Robelis Despaigne carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.